Multidimensional life-table analysis of the effect of child mortality on total fertility in India, 1992-93, 1998-99, 2005-06.
Multidimensional life-table analysis of the effect of child mortality on total fertility in India, 1992-93, 1998-99, 2005-06.
复制标题
印度儿童死亡率对总生育率影响的多维生命表分析，1992-93、1998-99、2005-06。
DOI：
10.1080/00324728.2012.737473
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Eini-Zinab,Hassan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Eini-Zinab,Hassan
本文提出了一种估计儿童死亡率对总和生育率影响的新方法。该方法是基于离散时间生存模型的奇偶进展，允许建设一个多变量的多维生命表的生育率与四个方面：妇女的年龄，奇偶校验，在奇偶校验的持续时间，和以前的儿童死亡人数。在胎次进展的基础生存模型中，其他社会经济变量被纳入预测变量组。寿命表产生一个替代率，衡量一个额外的儿童死亡对总生育率的影响。该方法说明了它适用于三个印度全国家庭健康调查。主要的调查结果是，死亡的儿童没有得到完全的替代，替代率随着总生育率的福尔斯而上升，反映出妇女控制生育的能力不断提高。
This paper presents a new method for estimating the effect of child mortality on the total fertility rate (TFR). The method is based on discrete-time survival models of parity progression that allow construction of a multivariate multidimensional life table of fertility with four dimensions: woman's age, parity, duration in parity, and number of previous child deaths. Additional socio-economic variables are included in the set of predictor variables in the underlying survival models of parity progression. The life table yields a replacement rate, which measures the effect of one additional child death on the TFR. The method is illustrated by applying it to three Indian National Family Health Surveys. Major findings are that dead children are incompletely replaced, and that the replacement rate rises as the TFR falls, reflecting women's increasing ability to control their fertility.