MEMS commercialization: ingredients for success
MEMS commercialization: ingredients for success
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MEMS 商业化：成功的要素
DOI：
10.1109/memsys.2000.838481
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发表时间：
2000
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
R. Payne
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
R. Payne
传统上，大多数新技术的商业化所需的时间比专家们预测的要长得多。MEMS也不例外。对爆炸性增长的五年预测往往会变成20年的耐力马拉松。采用新技术往往需要压倒性的优势证据，然后才能取代现有技术。根据经验，如果在某些重要参数（如性能或成本）上看不到十倍的优势，那么成功采用的可能性就很低。已经出现了几种具有显著商业重要性的MEMS器件。其他几家公司似乎即将取得商业成功。这些MEMS器件的一些特性将被检查，成功的成分从这组蒸馏，并为未来提供一些预测。
The commercialization of most new technologies has traditionally taken many more years than pundits predict. MEMS are no exception to this rule. Five-year predictions of explosive growth often turn into 20-year marathons of endurance. The adoption of new technology often requires overwhelming evidence of superiority before displacing an established technology. As a rule of thumb, if one can't see a tenfold advantage in some parameter of importance, such as performance or cost, the likelihood of successful adoption is low. Several MEMS devices have emerged that have significant commercial importance. Several others appear to be on the threshold of commercial success. The characteristics of some of these MEMS devices will be examined, the ingredients for success distilled from this group, and some predictions for the future will be offered.