Beliefs about climate change in the aftermath of extreme flooding
Beliefs about climate change in the aftermath of extreme flooding
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DOI：
10.1007/s10584-019-02461-2
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发表时间：
2019-07-01
期刊：
影响因子：
4.8
通讯作者：
Crow, Deserai
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Albright, Elizabeth A.;Crow, Deserai
当面临自然灾害时，社区以不同的方式作出反应，其过程反映了他们的文化、需求和社区造成的破坏程度。由于洪水可能反复发生，因此为社区提供了一个学习和适应这些经验的机会，其目标是通过反思、修改以前的政策和采用新政策来提高抗灾能力。一个社区从灾难中学习的能力的一个关键组成部分是社区成员如何认识极端洪水事件的原因以及未来是否有发生类似事件的风险。对洪水成因（包括气候变化）的认识可能受到经历洪水事件以及个人对帮助社区恢复的各种政策的偏好的影响。利用从2013年科罗拉多州六个被洪水淹没的社区收集的两轮公众调查（n = 903）中收集的数据，我们调查了对洪水的因果理解是否存在差异，以及这种差异是否与所遭受的损失（个人财产，邻里或社区）的接近程度有关。通过分析这些变量，以及其他变量（洪水发生的时间、政治派别和世界观），本研究提高了我们对驱动我们对洪水潜在原因的信念的因素的理解，重点是气候变化。研究结果表明，邻里和社区所遭受的破坏程度会对公众对气候变化的看法产生重大影响。反过来，这些关于气候变化的信念与对未来洪水风险的认知呈正相关。
When faced with natural disasters, communities respond in diverse ways, with processes that reflect their cultures, needs, and the extent of damage incurred by the community. Because of their potentially recurring nature, floods offer an opportunity for communities to learn from and adapt to these experiences with the goal of increasing resiliency through reflection, modification of former policies, and adoption of new policies. A key component of a community's ability to learn from disaster is how community members perceive the causes of extreme flood events and whether there is risk of future similar events. Perceptions of causes of flooding, including climate change, may be influenced by experiencing a flood event, along with individual preferences for various policies put in place to help a community recover. Using data collected from two rounds of public surveys (n = 903) across six Colorado communities flooded in 2013, we investigate whether there is variation across causal understanding of flooding, and whether this variation can be linked to differences in proximity of damages experienced (personal property, neighborhood, or community). By analyzing these variables, along with other variables (time since flood, political affiliation, and worldview), this study improves our understanding of the factors that drive our beliefs about potential causes of floods, focusing on climate change. The findings suggest that the extent of damage experienced at the neighborhood and community levels can have a significant effect on the perceptions of climate change held by the public. In turn, these beliefs about climate change are positively associated with perceptions of risks of future flooding.