Turnout and the Vote: The Joke's on the Democrats
Turnout and the Vote: The Joke's on the Democrats
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投票率和投票：民主党的笑话
DOI：
10.2307/1960636
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发表时间：
1980
影响因子：
6.8
通讯作者：
J. Denardo
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Denardo
人们普遍认为，投票率高对民主党有利。这项研究提出了理论推理和经验证据，挑战传统的观点。对核心选民和边缘选民行为的合理假设导致了这样的结论：尽管常识如此，当投票率增加时，多数党最有可能遭受损失。最近选民对党派忠诚度的下降似乎也削弱了投票率和投票率之间的关系。
A heavy turnout is commonly believed to favor the Democrats. This study presents theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence that challenge the conventional view. Reasonable assumptions about the behavior of core and peripheral voters lead to the conclusion that the majority party is most likely to suffer when turnout increases, common sense notwithstanding. It also appears that the recent decay of partisan loyalties among voters has eroded the relationship between turnout and the vote.