Births, deaths, and new deal relief during the great depression
Births, deaths, and new deal relief during the great depression
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DOI：
10.1162/rest.89.1.1
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发表时间：
2007-02-01
影响因子：
8
通讯作者：
Kantor, Shawn
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fishback, Price V.;Haines, Michael R.;Kantor, Shawn
本文考察了1929年至1940年期间美国主要城市的新政救济计划对婴儿死亡率、非婴儿死亡率和一般生育率的影响。使用各种规格和技术对114个城市的面板进行了估计，这些城市报告了1929年至1940年间的救济支出信息。新政期间救济支出的大幅增加有助于降低婴儿死亡率、自杀率和其他一些死亡原因，同时有助于提高总体生育率。与Ruhm（2000）对现代美国的研究结果类似，这篇文章发现，在20世纪30年代，许多类型的死亡率都是顺周期的。与拯救生命相关的救济成本估计（经通货膨胀调整）与现代社会保险计划的研究结果相似。
The article examines the impact of New Deal relief programs on infant mortality, non-infant mortality, and general fertility rates in major U.S. cities between 1929 and 1940. Effects are estimated using a variety of specifications and techniques for a panel of 114 cities that reported information on relief spending between 1929 and 1940. The significant rise in relief spending during the New Deal contributed to reductions in infant mortality, suicide rates, and some other causes of death, while contributing to increases in the general fertility rate. Similar to Ruhm's (2000) findings for the modem United States, the article finds that many types of death rates were pro-cyclical during the 1930s. Estimates of the relief costs associated with saving a life (adjusted for inflation) are similar to those found in studies of modern social insurance programs.