Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) The TRIPOD Statement
Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) The TRIPOD Statement
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DOI：
10.1161/circulationaha.114.014508
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发表时间：
2015-01-13
期刊：
影响因子：
37.8
通讯作者：
Moons, Karel G. M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Collins, Gary S.;Reitsma, Johannes B.;Moons, Karel G. M.
背景-预测模型的开发是为了帮助卫生保健提供者估计特定疾病或状况存在的概率或风险(诊断模型)或特定事件将在未来发生的概率或风险(预测模型)，以便为他们的决策提供信息。然而，压倒性的证据表明，预测模型研究的报告质量较差。只有充分和清楚地报告预测模型所有方面的信息，才能充分评估预测模型的偏倚风险和潜在的有用性。方法--透明报告个人预后或诊断的多变量预测模型(TRIPD)倡议为报告正在开发、验证或更新预测模型的研究制定了一套建议，无论是出于诊断还是预后目的。本文描述了Tripod语句是如何开发的。在回顾文献的基础上创建了一个广泛的项目清单，在基于网络的调查后进行了缩减，并在2011年6月与方法学家、医疗保健专业人员和期刊编辑举行的为期3天的会议上进行了修订。在指导小组的几次会议上，以及在与Tripod贡献者的更广泛小组的电子邮件讨论中，这份清单得到了完善。结果--得到的Tripod声明是一份22项的核对表，被认为是透明报告预测模型研究的关键。《三足鼎立声明》旨在提高预测模型研究报告的透明度，无论采用何种研究方法。Tripod声明最好与Tripod解释和阐述文件结合使用。结论-为了帮助编辑过程和预测模型研究的读者，建议作者在提交的报告中包括一份完整的核对表(也可以在www.tripod-statement.org上获得)。
Background-Prediction models are developed to aid health care providers in estimating the probability or risk that a specific disease or condition is present (diagnostic models) or that a specific event will occur in the future (prognostic models), to inform their decision making. However, the overwhelming evidence shows that the quality of reporting of prediction model studies is poor. Only with full and clear reporting of information on all aspects of a prediction model can risk of bias and potential usefulness of prediction models be adequately assessed.Methods-The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Initiative developed a set of recommendations for the reporting of studies developing, validating, or updating a prediction model, whether for diagnostic or prognostic purposes. This article describes how the TRIPOD Statement was developed. An extensive list of items based on a review of the literature was created, which was reduced after a Web-based survey and revised during a 3-day meeting in June 2011 with methodologists, health care professionals, and journal editors. The list was refined during several meetings of the steering group and in e-mail discussions with the wider group of TRIPOD contributors.Results-The resulting TRIPOD Statement is a checklist of 22 items, deemed essential for transparent reporting of a prediction model study. The TRIPOD Statement aims to improve the transparency of the reporting of a prediction model study regardless of the study methods used. The TRIPOD Statement is best used in conjunction with the TRIPOD explanation and elaboration document.Conclusions-To aid the editorial process and readers of prediction model studies, it is recommended that authors include a completed checklist in their submission (also available at www.tripod-statement.org).