The Illusion of Deterrence in Isaac Ehrlich's Research on Capital Punishment
The Illusion of Deterrence in Isaac Ehrlich's Research on Capital Punishment
复制标题
艾萨克·埃利希死刑研究中的威慑幻象
DOI：
10.2307/795412
复制
发表时间：
1975
期刊：
影响因子：
6.4
通讯作者：
G. Pierce
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
W. J. Bowers;G. Pierce
在对埃利希教授最近关于死刑的研究的批评中，我们得出的结论是，他未能提供任何可靠的证据来证明死刑可以阻止谋杀。他的数据不足以满足他的分析目的，而且他错误地运用了他所采用的高度复杂的统计技术。我们首先评估他用来衡量理论表述中的关键变量的数据，然后考虑他的分析中的缺陷，即使他的数据足够，这些缺陷也会使他的结论无效。最后，我们解释了埃利希的分析如何得出看似与威慑假设一致但实际上并非如此的结果。2
In this critique of Professor Ehrlich's recent research on capital punishment,' we conclude that he has failed to provide any reliable evidence that the death penalty deters murder. His data are inadequate for the purposes of his analysis and he misapplies the highly sophisticated statistical techniques he employs. We begin with an evaluation of the data he uses to measure the critical variables in his theoretical formulation and then consider flaws in his analysis which would invalidate his conclusions even if his data were adequate. We conclude by explaining how Ehrlich's analysis produces results which seem consistent with the deterrence hypothesis when in fact they are not.2