Dual accountability and the nationalization of party competition: Evidence from four federations
Dual accountability and the nationalization of party competition: Evidence from four federations
复制标题
双重问责与政党竞争的国有化：来自四个联合会的证据
DOI：
10.1177/1354068810376182
复制
发表时间：
2011
期刊：
影响因子：
2.7
通讯作者：
Erik Wibbels
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Jonathan Rodden;Erik Wibbels
本文评估了四个联邦制政党制度国有化的程度。在这样做的过程中，这项研究解决了两个问题。首先，双重问责制是否适用于分散的国家，或者国家以下的选民在复杂的信息环境中是否将国家暗示作为节约的一种手段？通过将跨国数据集应用于这个问题，我们能够洞察双重问责可能在哪里以及为什么可能发挥作用。其次，如何解释不同国家和不同时间政党制度国有化程度的差异？我们以以前的文献为基础，提出了一些可能影响国有化程度的因素。我们在阿根廷、加拿大、德国和美国省级选举的背景下审查这些因素。使用国家和地方经济数据，我们几乎没有发现我们任何一个国家存在双重问责的证据。我们发现，经济表现对地区选举结果的影响不大，而在经济表现对地区选举结果有影响的地方，国家以下的选举结果反映的是国家而不是国家以下的情况。更重要的是党派关系在各级政府和选举时间上的作用。国家执政党的地方联合党派失去了选票，特别是在距离最近一次全国大选的时间越来越长的时候。这些影响的强度在我们的案例中以可预见的方式有所不同。
This paper assesses the extent to which party systems are nationalized in four federations. In doing so, the research addresses two questions. First, is dual accountability operational across decentralized countries, or do sub-national voters turn to national cues as a means to economize in a complex information environment? By bringing a cross-national dataset to bear on this question, we are able to provide insight into where and why dual accountability might operate. Second, what explains variation in the extent to which party systems are nationalized across countries and time? We build on previous literature to suggest a number of factors likely to impact the extent of nationalization. We examine those factors in the context of provincial-level elections in Argentina, Canada, Germany and the United States. Using national and sub-national economic data, we find little evidence of dual accountability in any of our countries. We find that economic performance matters little for regional electoral outcomes, and where it does, sub-national outcomes reflect national rather than sub-national conditions. More important are the roles of partisan relations across levels of government and election timing. Sub-national co-partisans of the nationally governing party lose votes, particularly as the time from the most recent national election grows. The strength of these effects varies across our cases in predictable ways.