Age and Turnout in Aging Societies
Age and Turnout in Aging Societies
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老龄化社会中的年龄和投票率
DOI：
10.1093/ijpor/edz044
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发表时间：
2019
影响因子：
1.8
通讯作者：
Kelan Lu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Tetsuya Matsubayashi;Kelan Lu
世界范围内寿命延长的选举和政治后果是什么？2000年至2016年间，全球出生时预期寿命增加了5.5岁，达到72岁（世界卫生组织，2019年），这表明世界许多地区有更多人的寿命更长。此外，更多的老年人在以后的生活中保持身心健康。出生时的健康预期寿命（黑尔），定义为“考虑到特定年龄的死亡率、发病率和功能健康状况，给定年龄的人可以预期健康生活的年数”（Salomon et al.，2012年，第2144页），1990年至2010年期间，男性的平均寿命增加了4.2岁，女性增加了4.5岁。在许多社会中，老年公民比年轻公民更积极地投票（例如，Blais，Goggil，& Nevitte，2004; Leighley & Nagler，2014），使他们能够享有更大的选举权，从而在他们直接受益的年龄相关政策领域取得更有利的结果，例如养老金和医疗保健。相比之下，他们不太支持那些他们没有立即受益的政策，如教育和投资，从而导致对非老年人不利的结果。寿命延长导致选民中老年人比例增加，从而反映了上述投票轨迹，并加速了这一模式，特别是在生育率较低的社会。这些动态，被称为“代际冲突"，“年龄战争”和“灰色危险”，已被广泛研究，从理论和（Andersen，2008; Epple，Romano，& Sieg，2012; Galasso & Profeta，2007; Tabellini，2000）和经验观点（Harris，Evans，& Schwab，2001; Jäger &施密特，2016; Pampel &威廉姆森，1989年; Sanz & Velázquez，2007年;另见Fullerton &
What are the electoral and political consequences of longer life spans around the world? Global life expectancy at birth has increased by 5.5 years to 72 between 2000 and 2016 (World Health Organization, 2019), suggesting that more people are living longer in many parts of the world. Furthermore, more seniors maintain their physical and mental health later into their lives. Healthy life expectancy (HALE) at birth, defined as “the number of years that a person at a given age can expect to live in good health taking into account age-specific mortality, morbidity, and functional health status”(Salomon et al., 2012, p. 2144), has also increased by 4.2 years among men and 4.5 years among women between 1990 and 2010.These population changes may significantly influence electoral dynamics and policy formation. Elderly citizens vote more actively than younger citizens in many societies (eg, Blais, Gidengil, & Nevitte, 2004; Leighley & Nagler, 2014), allowing them to enjoy greater electoral power and thereby achieve more favorable outcomes in the domain of age-related policies from which they directly benefit, such as pension and health care. In contrast, they are less supportive of policies from which they receive no immediate benefit, such as education and investment, thus leading to less favorable outcomes for nonseniors. Longer life span leads to a larger proportion of seniors within the electorate, thus reflecting the voting trajectory noted above and accelerating this pattern especially in societies with lower fertility. These dynamics, known as “intergenerational conflict,”“age war,” and “gray peril,” have been extensively studied from both theoretical (Andersen, 2008; Epple, Romano, & Sieg, 2012; Galasso & Profeta, 2007; Tabellini, 2000) and empirical perspectives (Harris, Evans, & Schwab, 2001; Jäger & Schmidt, 2016; Pampel & Williamson, 1989; Sanz & Velázquez, 2007; see also Fullerton &
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提高寿命与社会保障改革——立法程序途径
影响因子：
9.8
作者：
T. Andersen
通讯作者：
T. Andersen
1975-2003 年芬兰年龄、代数和时期对投票率的影响
影响因子：
2.3
作者：
Hanna Wass
通讯作者：
Hanna Wass
影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Julianna Pacheco;Jason M. Fletcher
通讯作者：
Jason M. Fletcher
现在谁投票
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
Jan E. Leighley;Jonathan Nagler
通讯作者：
Jonathan Nagler
为什么老年人更有可能投票？
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2007
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
Achim Goerres
通讯作者：
Achim Goerres