The COVID-19 lockdowns: a window into the Earth System
The COVID-19 lockdowns: a window into the Earth System
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DOI：
10.1038/s43017-020-0079-1
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发表时间：
2020-09-01
影响因子：
42.1
通讯作者：
Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Diffenbaugh, Noah S.;Field, Christopher B.;Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle
COVID-19疫情对全球造成重大影响。这一视角提供了对大流行的环境影响的深入了解，记录了它如何提供了一个更好地了解地球系统的机会。减少人类互动的限制有助于避免COVID-19大流行造成更大的痛苦和死亡，但也造成了社会经济困难。在全球观测网络、无处不在的传感和大规模跟踪人类流动和行为的现代时代，这种破坏是前所未有的，为了解地球系统创造了一个独特的试验台。在这个视角中，我们假设地球系统对COVID-19的即时和长期反应沿着两个多学科级联：能源，排放，气候和空气质量;以及贫困，全球化，粮食和生物多样性。虽然短期影响主要是人类活动减少产生的直接影响，但经济衰退对全球贫困、绿色投资和人类行为的连锁反应可能会产生较长期的影响。这些影响为新的见解提供了机会，特别是在大流行期间和之后，精心部署有针对性的数据收集、协调的模型实验和以解决方案为导向的随机对照试验。
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused substantial global impact. This Perspective provides insight into the environmental effects of the pandemic, documenting how it offers an opportunity to better understand the Earth System.Restrictions to reduce human interaction have helped to avoid greater suffering and death from the COVID-19 pandemic, but have also created socioeconomic hardship. This disruption is unprecedented in the modern era of global observing networks, pervasive sensing and large-scale tracking of human mobility and behaviour, creating a unique test bed for understanding the Earth System. In this Perspective, we hypothesize the immediate and long-term Earth System responses to COVID-19 along two multidisciplinary cascades: energy, emissions, climate and air quality; and poverty, globalization, food and biodiversity. While short-term impacts are dominated by direct effects arising from reduced human activity, longer-lasting impacts are likely to result from cascading effects of the economic recession on global poverty, green investment and human behaviour. These impacts offer the opportunity for novel insight, particularly with the careful deployment of targeted data collection, coordinated model experiments and solution-oriented randomized controlled trials, during and after the pandemic.