THE PREDICTIVE VALUE OF CHILDHOOD BODY-MASS INDEX VALUES FOR OVERWEIGHT AT AGE 35 Y
THE PREDICTIVE VALUE OF CHILDHOOD BODY-MASS INDEX VALUES FOR OVERWEIGHT AT AGE 35 Y
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DOI：
10.1093/ajcn/59.4.810
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发表时间：
1994-04-01
影响因子：
7.1
通讯作者：
SIERVOGEL, RM
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
GUO, SS;ROCHE, AF;SIERVOGEL, RM
较大的身体质量指数值（体重指数单位为kg/m2）与成年期发病率和死亡率增加有关，儿童期和成年期的体重指数值之间存在显著相关性。本研究探讨了儿童时期BMI在35 +/- 5v时对超重的预测价值，即男性BMI为bbb28，女性BMI为bbb26。对555名白人儿童的数据分析表明，35岁时的超重可以通过更年轻时的BMI来预测。这种预测在18岁时非常好，在13岁时很好，但在13岁以下的年龄中只有中等水平。对于BMI值超过60百分位的18岁青少年，35岁时超重的几率男性为34%，女性为37%。提供了一种临床适用的方法，将超重儿童分配到成年后BMI值高的已知概率组。
Larger body mass index values (BMI in kg/m2) are associated with increased morbidity and mortality in adulthood and there are significant correlations between BMI values in childhood and in adulthood. The present study addresses the predictive value of childhood BMI for overweight at 35 +/- 5 v, defined as BMI > 28 for men and > 26 for women. Analyses of data for 555 white children indicated that overweight at 35 y can be predicted from BMI at younger ages. The prediction is excellent at age 18 y, good at 13 y, but only moderate at ages younger than 13 y. For 18-y-olds with a BMI value exceeding the 60th percentile, the odds of overweight at 35 v are 34% for men and 37% for women. A clinically applicable method is provided to assign an overweight child to a group with a known probability of high BMI values in adulthood.