Is China a Status Quo or Revisionist State? Leadership Travel as an Empirical Indicator of Foreign Policy Priorities
Is China a Status Quo or Revisionist State? Leadership Travel as an Empirical Indicator of Foreign Policy Priorities
复制标题
中国是一个现状国家还是修正主义国家？
DOI：
10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00697.x
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发表时间：
2012
影响因子：
2.6
通讯作者：
Phillip C. Saunders
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Scott L. Kastner;Phillip C. Saunders
中国不断崛起的实力和日益增强的全球行动主义吸引了越来越多的关注，人们尤其关注的是，一个更强大的中国是否可能成为一个修正主义者或维持现状的国家。权力转移理论强调了一个不满意的崛起大国挑战现有国际秩序的可能性，但很难评估一个崛起大国是否不满意。中国领导人选择去哪里访问，可以让人们了解中国的行为是否更符合修正主义或维持现状的国家，以及中国更广泛的外交重点。我们提出了一系列关于挑战者状态的旅行模式如何可能与现状状态的旅行模式不同的期望。然后，我们利用新编制的数据集，分析了1998年至2008年中国高层领导人出国旅行的相关关系。我们的研究结果更符合中国的现状概念，尽管也有一些重要的例外，比如前往流氓国家的意愿。我们还使用旅行数据来检验关于中国外交政策行为的其他假设。
China's rising power and increased global activism have attracted increasing attention, with particular focus on whether a stronger China is likely to be a revisionist or status quo state. Power transition theory highlights the potential for a dissatisfied rising power to challenge the existing international order, but it is difficult to evaluate whether a rising power is dissatisfied. Where Chinese leaders choose to travel can offer insights into whether China's behavior is more consistent with that of a revisionist or status quo state and into China's broader diplomatic priorities. We present a series of expectations concerning how the travel patterns of a challenger state are likely to differ from the travel patterns of a status quo state. Using a newly compiled data set, we then analyze the correlates of travel abroad by top Chinese leaders from 1998 to 2008. Our results are more consistent with a status quo conceptualization of China, though there are some important exceptions such as willingness to travel to rogue states. We also use travel data to test other hypotheses about Chinese foreign policy behavior.