The spread of COVID-19 virus through population density and wind in Turkey cities
The spread of COVID-19 virus through population density and wind in Turkey cities
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DOI：
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141663
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发表时间：
2021-01-10
影响因子：
9.8
通讯作者：
Gunduz, Samettin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Coskun, Hamit;Yildirim, Nazmiye;Gunduz, Samettin
除了COVID-19病毒的接触和呼吸道传播外，最近有文献报道，湿度、温度和空气污染可能是传播病毒的有效因素。然而，采取区域测量怀疑数据的准确性或有效性。在这项研究中，收集了2020年3月土耳其81个省的气候值（温度，湿度，晴天数，风强度）。此外，还采用了各省的人口、人口密度和平均空气污染数据。研究结果表明，人口密度和风在传播病毒方面是有效的，这两个因素解释了94%的病毒传播差异。空气温度、湿度、晴天天数和空气污染对病例数没有影响。此外，人口密度介导了风速（9%）对COVID-19病例数量的影响。空气中看不见的COVID-19病毒在大风天气中传播得更快，这一发现表明，随着风速增加空气流通，空气中的病毒是对人类的一个威胁因素。(C)2020爱思唯尔B. V.保留所有权利。
Beyond the contact and respiratory transmission of the COVID-19 virus, it has recently been reported in the literature that humidity, temperature, and air pollution may be effective in spreading the virus. However, taking the measurements regionally suspects the accuracy or validity of the data. In this research, climate values (temperature, humidity, number of sunny days, wind intensity) of 81 provinces in Turkey were collected in March 2020. Also, the population, population density of the provinces, and average air pollution data were taken. The findings of the study showed that population density and wind were effective in spreading the virus and both factors explained for 94% of the variance in virus spreading. Air temperature, humidity, the number of sunny days, and air pollution did not affect the number of cases. Besides, population density mediated the effect of wind speed (9%) on the number of COVID-19 cases. The finding that COVID-19 virus, invisible in the air, spreads more in windy weather indicates that the virus in the air is one threatening factor for humans with the wind speed that increases air circulation. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.