THE NEUTRAL THEORY OF MOLECULAR EVOLUTION AND THE WORLD VIEW OF THE NEUTRALISTS
THE NEUTRAL THEORY OF MOLECULAR EVOLUTION AND THE WORLD VIEW OF THE NEUTRALISTS
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KIMURA, M
The neutral theory as an evolutionary paradigm" neo-Darwinism"). This theory, which reached its heyday during the period from the late 1950's until the early 1960's, was dominated by the view that the speed and direction of evolution are almost completely determined by natural selection, with mutation playing only a small and subsidiary role (see, for example, Stebbins 1966, p. 29). Most evolutionists at that time believed that selectively neutral mutants, which confer neither advantages nor disadvantages, are very rare, if they exist at all. A corollary was that random genetic drift plays no significant role in evolution or in forming the genetic structure of species. A notable exception to this was Wright's" shifting balance theory" of evolution, in which epistatic interaction in fitness and intergroup selection interact with sampling drift within each deme. Wright, however, repeatedly emphasized that his shifting balance theory differs sharply from" pure sampling drift" of selectively neutral alleles in evolution.(For details, see Wright 1978 and Provine 1986; see also Wright 1988 for his latest view.) In contrast to the Darwinian theory of evolution by natural selection, the neutral theory (Kimura 1968; for details, see Kimura 1983) claims that the great majority of evolutionary changes at the molecular level are caused not by natural selection acting on advantageous mutants, but by random fixation (due to sampling drift) of selectively neutral or very nearly neutral mutants under continued mutation pressure. In other words, the neutral theory emphasizes the predominant role that mutation pressure and random genetic drift play in evolutionary changes at the molecular level. The theory does not deny the role of natural selection in determining the course of adaptive evolution, but it assumes that only a minute fraction of DNA (or RNA) changes are adaptive. The neutral theory also asserts that most of the intraspecific variability at the molecular level (including protein and DNA polymorphism) is essentially neutral, so that the majority of polymorphic alleles are maintained in the species by the balance between mutational input and random extinction. In other words, it regards protein and DNA polymorphism~ as a transient phase of molecular evolution and rejects the notion that the majority of such polymorphisms areDarwin (1859), in his book on origin of species, con-adaptive and maintained by some form of balancing selection. eludes that" species have changed, and are still slowly chang- The has simple assumptions that ing by the preservation and accumulation of successive slight its population genetical can be worked out using favourable(see p. 480 of the first edition). His a suitable mathematical method, particularly the diffusion theory of evolution by natural selection states that among equation method, Or the as I them" inheritable deviations"(or mutations to use modern ter-(Kimura 1964). minology) which continuou~ ly appear in the species, those that are beneficial for the survival and reproduction of individuals spread through the species by natural selection. Thus each species is well adapted to its environment. The Darwinian theory of evolution by natural selection has served as a great unifying principle in biology. Augmented by modern genetics, it led in the 1930's and 1940's to the orthodox view of evolution known as the" synthetic theory"(or