Vladimir Putin's last stand: the sources of Russia's Ukraine policy
Vladimir Putin's last stand: the sources of Russia's Ukraine policy
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弗拉基米尔·普京的最后立场：俄罗斯乌克兰政策的根源
DOI：
--
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发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
A. Tsygankov
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Tsygankov
本文研究了橙子革命以来俄罗斯的乌克兰政策。俄罗斯对其西部邻国的政策已经从与维克托尤先科的不愉快关系演变为与维克托亚努科维奇的和解，然后在2014年2月基辅的革命权力更迭中对抗。基辅二月革命后，弗拉基米尔·普京的外交政策既有变化，又有延续性。尽管这些行动相对于俄罗斯之前对乌克兰的行为构成了重大升级，但与基辅关系的升级也反映了克里姆林宫自2000年代中期以来采取的俄罗斯与西方国家关系强硬的更广泛政策模式。俄罗斯与乌克兰的冲突之所以成为可能，甚至不可避免，一方面是西方对俄罗斯在欧亚大陆的价值观和利益缺乏认识，另一方面是乌克兰在克里姆林宫的外交政策计算中扮演着至关重要的角色。本文对俄罗斯不断变化的政策提供了一种基于经验的解释，强调俄罗斯-乌克兰-西方的互动及其相互误解的相互加强的动态。它还讨论了俄罗斯乌克兰政策的四种替代解释，并讨论了危机的几种危险和可能的解决方案。
The paper studies Russia's Ukraine policy since the Orange Revolution. Russia's policy toward its western neighbor has evolved from unhappy relations with Victor Yushchenko to rapprochement with Victor Yanukovich and then confrontation over the revolutionary power change in Kiev in February 2014. The paper argues that Vladimir Putin's actions following February revolution in Kiev demonstrate both change and continuity in Russia's foreign policy. Although these actions constituted a major escalation, relative to Russia's previous behavior toward Ukraine, the escalation of relations with Kiev also reflected a broader policy pattern of Russia's assertive relations with the Western nations adopted by the Kremlin since the mid-2000s. What made Russia's conflict with Ukraine possible, even inevitable, was the West's lack of recognition for Russia's values and interests in Eurasia, on the one hand, and the critically important role that Ukraine played in the Kremlin's foreign policy calculations, on the other. The paper provides an empirically grounded interpretation of Russia's changing policy that emphasizes Russia–Ukraine–West interaction and a mutually reinforcing dynamics of their misunderstanding. It also addresses four alternative explanations of Russia's Ukraine policy and discusses several dangers and possible solutions to the crisis.
俄罗斯外交政策中的地位和情绪
影响因子：
0.9
作者：
Reinhard;Heller;Regina;Forsberg;Tuomas
通讯作者：
Tuomas