Global stability of a two-stage epidemic model with generalized non-linear incidence

Global stability of a two-stage epidemic model with generalized non-linear incidence
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DOI:
10.1016/s0378-4754(02)00002-2
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发表时间:
2002-07
期刊:
Math. Comput. Simul.
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
S. Moghadas;A. Gumel
S. Moghadas;A. Gumel
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
S. Moghadas;A. Gumel

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本文建立了一个多阶段疾病传播模型,并对该模型进行了定性分析。该模型表现出两个稳定状态,即:无病状态和唯一的地方病状态。该模型的全局稳定性表明,无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的(因此疾病可以根除),提供了一定的阈值R0(称为基本再生数)小于1。另一方面,当R0> 1时,唯一的地方病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的。
A multi-stage model of disease transmission, which incorporates a generalized non-linear incidence function, is developed and analysed qualitatively. The model exhibits two steady states namely: a disease-free state and a unique endemic state. A global stability of the model reveals that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable (and therefore the disease can be eradicated) provided a certain threshold R0(known as the basic reproductive number) is less than unity. On the other hand, the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable for R0>1 .