How do Economic Circumstances Determine Preferences? Evidence from Long-run Panel Data
How do Economic Circumstances Determine Preferences? Evidence from Long-run Panel Data
复制标题
经济环境如何决定偏好？
DOI：
10.1017/s0007123417000242
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发表时间：
2017
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Tom O’Grady
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Tom O’Grady
对再分配和社会支出的偏好与收入和失业风险相关，但尚不清楚这些关系是如何产生的。我建立了一个理论，强调只有经济环境的重大变化才能为人们提供改变偏好所需的信息和动机。稳定的长期偏好主要是由早期社会化形成的，其中包括来自家庭的经济和意识形态影响，以及早期的劳动力市场经验。持久的冲击、低代际流动性和左翼父母更穷的倾向，使环境和偏好之间产生了相关性。由于偏好是稳定的，更大的不平等可能不会增加对再分配的总体支持。支持的理论与瑞士的面板数据，使用一系列的实证检验。
Preferences for redistribution and social spending are correlated with income and unemployment risk, but it is unclear how these relationships come about. I build a theory emphasizing that only large changes in economic circumstances provide the information and motivation needed for people to change their preferences. Stable long-run preferences are shaped mainly by early socialization, which includes economic and ideological influences from the family, and early labor market experiences. Enduring shocks, low intergenerational mobility and the tendency of left-wing parents to be poorer generate correlations between circumstances and preferences. Because preferences are stable, greater inequality may not increase aggregate support for redistribution. Support is found for the theory with panel data from Switzerland, using a range of empirical tests.