Employer-to-Employer Flows in the U.S. Labor Market: The Complete Picture of Gross Worker Flows
Employer-to-Employer Flows in the U.S. Labor Market: The Complete Picture of Gross Worker Flows
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DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.594824
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发表时间：
2004-05
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Bruce C. Fallick;Charles A. Fleischman
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Bruce C. Fallick;Charles A. Fleischman
尽管雇主对雇主（EE）的流动，我们的劳动力市场和商业周期动态的理解的重要性，文献缺乏一个全面的和代表性的措施，这些流动的规模和性质。为了构建第一个可靠的措施，美国的EE流，本文利用“依赖采访”技术在1994年的当前人口调查。该论文的结论是，EE流动很大：平均每月有2.6%的就业人员更换雇主，这是从就业到失业的流动的两倍多。事实上，在职求职似乎是招聘的一个重要因素，因为在1994年至2003年期间，近五分之二的新工作都是雇主更换。EE流量也具有明显的顺周期性，尽管周期性集中在经济衰退周围：EE流量并没有随着1994年至2000年间劳动力市场的紧缩而增加，但随着2001年至2003年期间劳动力市场的宽松，EE流量确实急剧下降。我们认为EE流的不均衡周期性模式将被纳入未来的模型。
Despite the importance of employer-to-employer (EE) flows to our understanding of labor market and business cycle dynamics, the literature has lacked a comprehensive and representative measure of the size and character of these flows. To construct the first reliable measures of EE flows for the United States, this paper exploits the "dependent interviewing" techniques introduced in the Current Population Survey in 1994. The paper concludes that EE flows are large: On average 2.6 percent of employed persons change employers each month, a flow more than twice as large as that from employment to unemployment. Indeed, on-the-job search appears to be an important element in hiring, as nearly two-fifths of new jobs started between 1994 and 2003 represented employer changes. EE flows are also markedly procyclical, although the cyclicality is concentrated around the recession: EE flows did not increase as the labor market tightened between 1994 and 2000, but they did drop sharply as the labor market loosened during the period 2001 through 2003. We view the uneven cyclical pattern of EE flows as a pattern to be incorporated into future models.