Tracking Underreported Financial Flows: China’s Development Finance and the Aid–Conflict Nexus Revisited
Tracking Underreported Financial Flows: China’s Development Finance and the Aid–Conflict Nexus Revisited
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DOI：
10.1177/0022002715604363
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发表时间：
2014-01
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
中国向其他国家提供的发展融资规模可观，但可靠信息匮乏。我们引入了一种新的开源方法来收集项目级发展融资信息，并创建了2000年至2011年中国对非洲官方融资（of）数据库。我们发现，中国的承诺总额约为730亿美元，其中150亿美元相当于经济合作与发展组织定义的官方发展援助。我们向50个非洲国家提供1511个项目的详细信息。我们使用这个数据库来扩展先前关于援助和冲突的研究，这些研究由于排除了中国发展融资而遭受遗漏变量偏差。我们的研究结果表明，在中国提供足够的替代资金的情况下，突然撤回“传统”援助不再引发冲突。我们的发现强调了收集关于“非传统捐助者”发展活动的更完整数据的重要性，以便更好地理解援助与冲突之间的联系。
China’s provision of development finance to other countries is sizable but reliable information is scarce. We introduce a new open-source methodology for collecting project-level development finance information and create a database of Chinese official finance (OF) to Africa from 2000 to 2011. We find that China’s commitments amounted to approximately US$73 billion, of which US$15 billion are comparable to Official Development Assistance following Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development definitions. We provide details on 1,511 projects to fifty African countries. We use this database to extend previous research on aid and conflict, which suffers from omitted-variable bias due to the exclusion of Chinese development finance. Our results show that sudden withdrawals of “traditional” aid no longer induce conflict in the presence of sufficient alternative funding from China. Our findings highlight the importance of gathering more complete data on the development activities of “nontraditional donors” to better understand the link between aid and conflict.