Assessment of China's energy-saving and emission-reduction accomplishments and opportunities during the 11th Five Year Plan

Assessment of China's energy-saving and emission-reduction accomplishments and opportunities during the 11th Five Year Plan
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DOI:
10.1016/j.enpol.2011.02.006
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发表时间:
2010-07
期刊:
影响因子:
9
通讯作者:
L. Price;M. Levine;N. Zhou;D. Fridley;Nathaniel T. Aden;Hongyou Lu;Michael Mcneil;Nina Zheng
L. Price;M. Levine;N. Zhou;D. Fridley;Nathaniel T. Aden;Hongyou Lu;Michael Mcneil;Nina Zheng
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
L. Price;M. Levine;N. Zhou;D. Fridley;Nathaniel T. Aden;Hongyou Lu;Michael Mcneil;Nina Zheng

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从1980年到2002年,中国单位国内生产总值(GDP)能耗平均每年下降5%。随着这种历史关系的戏剧性逆转,2002-2005年期间,能源强度每年增长5%。中国的“十一五”规划设定了到2010年将能源强度降低20%的目标。本文评估了中国为实现国家目标而制定的一些政策和项目,发现中国取得了实质性进展,许多能效项目似乎正在按计划实现——或者在某些情况下超过了——其节能目标。“十大重点项目”、“1000强项目”和“小厂关停项目”中的大部分项目将达到或超过“十一五”规划的节能目标。中国的家电标准和标签计划已经变得非常强大。中国已经大大加强了对新建筑能源标准的执行,但建筑改造的节能项目以及调整中国经济结构的目标都在失败。重要的是要保持和加强现有的成功的节能政策和项目,同时修改项目或增加新的政策机制来改进那些没有按计划实现既定目标的项目。
From 1980 to 2002, China experienced a 5% average annual reduction in energy consumption per unit of gross domestic product (GDP). With a dramatic reversal of this historic relationship, energy intensity increased 5% per year during 2002–2005. China's 11th Five Year Plan (FYP) set a target of reducing energy intensity by 20% by 2010. This paper assesses selected policies and programs that China has instituted to fulfill the national goal, finding that China made substantial progress and many of the energy-efficiency programs appear to be on track to meet – or in some cases exceed – their energy-saving targets. Most of the Ten Key Projects, the Top-1000 Program, and the Small Plant Closure Program will meet or surpass the 11th FYP savings goals. China's appliance standards and labeling program has become very robust. China has greatly enhanced its enforcement of new building energy standards but energy-efficiency programs for buildings retrofits, as well as the goal of adjusting China's economic structure, are failing. It is important to maintain and strengthen the existing energy-saving policies and programs that are successful while revising programs or adding new policy mechanisms to improve the programs that are not on track to achieve the stated goals.