Evaluating the Causal Role of Unobserved Variables
Evaluating the Causal Role of Unobserved Variables
复制标题
评估未观察到的变量的因果作用
DOI：
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发表时间：
2003
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
W. Ahn
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
C. Luhmann;W. Ahn
目前的因果归纳心理学模型假设因果关系是根据因果关系是否存在的观察来推断的。目前的研究调查了人们如何推断未观察到的事件的因果关系。在实验1中，我们证明了参与者确实愿意评估未观察到的事件的因果作用。然后，我们认为，这些判断的基础可能是在没有观察到的原因的情况下发生的结果。实验2提供的证据表明，这些信息确实会影响参与者对未观察到的原因的判断。
Current psychological models of causal induction assume that causal relationships are inferred based on observations about whether the cause and effect are present or absent. The current study investigated how people infer the causal roles of unobserved events. In Experiment 1 we demonstrate that participants are indeed willing to evaluate the causal roles of unobserved events. We then suggest that the basis for these judgments may be situations in which effects occur in the absence of observed causes. Experiment 2 provides evidence that such information does influence participants’ judgments about unobserved causes.