Biochemical markers of liver fibrosis in patients with hepatitis C virus infection: a prospective study
Biochemical markers of liver fibrosis in patients with hepatitis C virus infection: a prospective study
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DOI:
10.1016/s0140-6736(00)04258-6
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发表时间:
2001-04-07
期刊:
影响因子:
168.9
通讯作者:
Poynard, T
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Imbert-Bismut, F;Ratziu, V;Poynard, T
Background Liver biopsy is thought mandatory for management of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, especially for staging fibrosis. We aimed, in our prospective study, to assess the predictive value of a combination of basic serum biochemical markers for diagnosis of clinically significant fibrosis (Including early stages).Methods We assessed liver-biopsy patients with detectable HCV by PCR, for eligibility, and took a blood sample on the day of the procedure. The analysis was done in a first-year period for 205 patients and then tested in a second period on 134 patients. We devised a fibrosis index that included the most informative markers (combined with age and sex) for the first-year group. 11 serum markers were assessed as well as fibrosis stage: F0=no fibrosis and F1=portal fibrosis; and for clinically significant fibrosis, F2=few septa, F3=many septa, and F4=cirrhosis. Statistical analysis was by logistic regression, neural connection,and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves.Findings First-year and second-year patient-group characteristics and biochemical markers did not differ. The overall frequency of clinically significant fibrosis was 40% (138 patients). The most informative markers were: alpha (2) macroglobulin, alpha (2) globulin (or haptoglobin), gamma globulin, apolipoprotein A(1). gamma glutamyltranspeptidase, and total bilirubin. The areas (SD) under the ROC curves for the first-year (0.836 [0.430]) and second-year groups (0.870 [0.340]) did not differ (p=0.44). With the best index, a high negative predictive value (100% certainty of absence of F2, F3, or F4) was obtained for scores ranging from zero to 0.10 (12% [41] of all patients), and high positive predictive value (>90% certainty of presence of F2, F3, or F4) for scores ranging from 0.60 to 1.00 (34% [115] of all patients).Interpretation A combination of basic serum markers could be used to substantially reduce the number of liver biopsies done in patients with chronic HCV infection.