Age and total ribavirin dose are independent predictors of relapse after interferon therapy in chronic hepatitis C revealed by data mining analysis

Age and total ribavirin dose are independent predictors of relapse after interferon therapy in chronic hepatitis C revealed by data mining analysis
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DOI:
10.3851/imp1923
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发表时间:
2012-01-01
期刊:
影响因子:
1.2
通讯作者:
Izumi, Namiki
Izumi, Namiki
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kurosaki, Masayuki;Hiramatsu, Naoki;Izumi, Namiki

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背景资料:本研究旨在确定与慢性丙型肝炎患者对聚乙二醇干扰素(PEG-IFN)加利巴韦林(RBV)治疗的应答者复发相关的因素。一组基因型1b的慢性丙型肝炎患者接受PEG-IFN联合RBV治疗,并且在第12周时检测不到HCV RNA(n = 951),随机分配到模型推导组(n = 636)或内部验证组(n = 100)。315)组。使用独立队列(n = 598)进行外部验证。复发的决策树模型进行了探讨,使用数据挖掘analysis.Results:数据挖掘分析定义了5个亚组的患者的复发率从13%到52%不等。通过内部和外部验证证实了该模型的重现性(r(2)分别= 0.79和0.83)。在第4周时检测不到HCV RNA的患者复发风险最低(13%),其次是RBV ≥ 3.0 g/kg体重的患者(16%)。接受总RBV剂量的老年患者
Background: This study aimed to define factors associated with relapse among responders to pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) therapy in chronic hepatitis C.Methods: A cohort of genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C patients treated with PEG-IFN plus RBV and who had an undetectable HCV RNA by week 12 (n = 951) were randomly assigned to model derivation (n = 636) or internal validation (n = 315) groups. An independent cohort (n = 598) were used for an external validation. A decision tree model for relapse was explored using data mining analysis.Results: The data mining analysis defined five subgroups of patients with variable rates of relapse ranging from 13% to 52%. The reproducibility of the model was confirmed by internal and external validations (r(2) = 0.79and 0.83, respectively). Patients with undetectable HCV RNA at week 4 had the lowest risk of relapse (13%), followed by patients = 3.0 g/kg of body weight of RBV (16%). Older patients with a total RBV dose