Testing Dual Labor Market Theory: a Reconsideration of the Evidence
Testing Dual Labor Market Theory: a Reconsideration of the Evidence
复制标题
检验二元劳动力市场理论：对证据的重新思考
DOI：
10.3386/w1670
复制
发表时间：
1985
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
K. Lang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
W. Dickens;K. Lang
本文复制并扩展了我们之前对二元市场理论的分析。我们使用一种技术，根据每个工人的特点估计他在初级部门工作的可能性。我们使用这些信息来确定这些部门的职业和产业构成。我们继续得出非常支持这一理论的结果。在其他作者的研究中，工人根据他们所从事的行业或职业，以及对构成这两个行业的行业或职业的有根据的猜测，被“分配”到第一或第二行业。我们发现，以往的研究产生了混合和不确定的结果，存在严重的错误分类问题。在审查的案例中，经这些分类计划确定在第二部门工作的所有全时壮年男性工人中，至少有一半被发现极有可能在初级部门工作。过去最支持二元市场理论的研究发现，错误分类的问题最不严重。
This paper replicates and extends our earlier analysis of dual market theory. We use a technique which estimates for each worker a probability of being in the primary sector on the basis of his characteristics. We use this information to determine the occupational and industrial composition of the sectors. We continue to produce results which are very supportive of the theory. In studies by other authors, workers were "assigned" to the primary or secondary sector on the basis of the industry or occupation in which they are employed and educated guesses about the industries or occupations which make up the two sectors. We find that previous studies, which produced mixed and inconclusive results, had serious misclassification problems. In the cases examined, at least half of all full time prime age male workers identified as being in the secondary sector by these classification schemes are found to have a high probability of primary sector attachment. Past studies which were most supportive of dual market theory are found to have had the least severe misclassification problems.