Effect of daily aspirin on long-term risk of death due to cancer: analysis of individual patient data from randomised trials

Effect of daily aspirin on long-term risk of death due to cancer: analysis of individual patient data from randomised trials
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DOI:
10.1016/s0140-6736(10)62110-1
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发表时间:
2011-01-01
期刊:
影响因子:
168.9
通讯作者:
Meade, Tom W.
Meade, Tom W.
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Rothwell, Peter M.;Fowkes, F. Gerald R.;Meade, Tom W.

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Background Treatment with daily aspirin for 5 years or longer reduces subsequent risk of colorectal cancer. Several lines of evidence suggest that aspirin might also reduce risk of other cancers, particularly of the gastrointestinal tract, but proof in man is lacking. We studied deaths due to cancer during and after randomised trials of daily aspirin versus control done originally for prevention of vascular events.Methods We used individual patient data from all randomised trials of daily aspirin versus no aspirin with mean duration of scheduled trial treatment of 4 years or longer to determine the effect of allocation to aspirin on risk of cancer death in relation to scheduled duration of trial treatment for gastrointestinal and non-gastrointestinal cancers. In three large UK trials, long-term post-trial follow-up of individual patients was obtained from death certificates and cancer registries.Results In eight eligible trials (25 570 patients, 674 cancer deaths), allocation to aspirin reduced death due to cancer (pooled odds ratio [OR] 0.79, 95% CI 0.68-0.92, p=0.003). On analysis of individual patient data, which were available from seven trials (23 535 patients, 657 cancer deaths), benefit was apparent only after 5 years' follow-up (all cancers, hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 0.50-0.87; gastrointestinal cancers, 0.46, 0.27-0.77; both p=0.003). The 20-year risk of cancer death (1634 deaths in 12 659 patients in three trials) remained lower in the aspirin groups than in the control groups (all solid cancers, HR 0.80, 0.72-0.88, p