Financial Transfers from Japan to North Korea: Estimating the Unreported Flows

Financial Transfers from Japan to North Korea: Estimating the Unreported Flows
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从日本到朝鲜的资金转移:估计未报告的资金流量

DOI:
10.2307/2645498
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发表时间:
1996
期刊:
影响因子:
0.9
通讯作者:
Nicholas N. Eberstadt
Nicholas N. Eberstadt
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Nicholas N. Eberstadt

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随着苏联的解体和中国对朝鲜援助的削减,平壤目前似乎只剩下一个潜在的优惠资源转让的主要来源:在日朝鲜人总联合会(日语缩写为Chosen Soren,朝鲜语缩写为Chochongnyon)。这个由居住在日本的亲朝鲜朝鲜人组成的组织被描述为朝鲜的“资金管道”,其成员估计在10万到25万人之间。在大多数专家看来,这条“资金管道”每年向朝鲜输送大量援助。例如,1994年3月,在日本国会的一次报告中,日本公共安全调查局局长说,据信,“选定的索伦”每年向平壤汇600亿至800亿日元,按当时的汇率计算,相当于6.5亿至8.5亿美元。这些估计与《联合国报告》中广泛引用的数字一致
With the collapse of the Soviet Union and the cutback in Chinese aid to North Korea (DPRK),1 Pyongyang for the moment seems to be left with only one potentially major source of concessional resource transfers: the General Association of Korean Residents in Japan (known by the abbreviated Chosen Soren in Japanese, Chochongnyon in Korean). This organization of pro-DPRK Koreans living in Japan-estimates of whose membership range from about 100,000 to roughly 250,000-has been described as North Korea's "money pipeline."2 In the view of most specialists, this "money pipeline" funnels very substantial volumes of aid to North Korea every year. In a presentation before the Japanese Diet in March 1994, for example, the director-general of the Japanese Agency for Public Security and Investigation stated that Chosen Soren was believed to be remitting Y60 billion to Y80 billion a year to Pyongyang3-equivalent to $650 million-$850 million at the exchange rates then prevailing. Those estimates are consistent with figures widely cited in the