Understanding change and stability in party ideologies: Do parties respond to public opinion or to past election results?
Understanding change and stability in party ideologies: Do parties respond to public opinion or to past election results?
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DOI：
10.1017/s0007123404000201
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发表时间：
2004-10-01
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Glasgow, G
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Adams, J;Clark, M;Glasgow, G
先前的研究解释了政党意识形态立场的演变，强调政治环境的不确定性的决策规则。作者通过研究政党是否会调整他们的意识形态来应对两种可能的影响来扩展这项研究：公众舆论的变化和过去的选举结果。他们的实证分析是基于比较宣言项目对八个西欧国家政党战后纲领的编码，表明政党对公众舆论的变化做出反应，但这些影响只有在公众舆论明显偏离政党政策立场的情况下才显着。相比之下，没有证据表明，在这里，政党调整他们的意识形态，以应对过去的选举结果。这些发现对政党的选举策略和政治代表模式具有重要意义。
Previous research explains the evolution of parties' ideological positions in terms of decision rules that stress the uncertainty of the political environment. The authors extend this research by examining whether parties adjust their ideologies in response to two possible influences: shifts in public opinion, and past election results. Their empirical analyses, which are based on the Comparative Manifesto Project's codings of parties' post-war programmes in eight West European nations, suggest that parties respond to shifts in public opinion, but that these effects are only significant in situations where public opinion is clearly shifting away from the party's policy positions. By contrast, no evidence is found here that parties adjust their ideologies in response to past election results. These findings have important implications for parties' election strategies and for models of political representation.