Violence-producing Dynamics of Fragile States: How State Fragility in Iraq Contributed to the Emergence of Islamic State
Violence-producing Dynamics of Fragile States: How State Fragility in Iraq Contributed to the Emergence of Islamic State
复制标题
脆弱国家的暴力产生动态：伊拉克国家的脆弱性如何导致伊斯兰国的出现
DOI：
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发表时间：
2018
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
S. Ibrahimi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Ibrahimi
摘要在后冷战时代，“圣战-萨勒曼组织”（JSG）已经成为重要的“制造暴力”组织。几乎所有的JSG都出现在高度脆弱的国家。关于国家脆弱性-恐怖主义关系的文献，仅仅关注国家脆弱性是否是恐怖主义的原因，没有考虑国家脆弱性对JSG出现的更广泛影响。特别是，国家脆弱性作为JSG出现的条件的作用在文献中大多被忽视。本文将国家脆弱性作为条件变量加入到JSG兴起的因果模型中，填补了这一空白。本研究的实证基础包括一个单一的案例研究，探讨在后萨达姆时代的伊拉克国家脆弱性和伊斯兰国（IS）的形成之间的关系。通过在IS兴起的因果模型中增加一个新的变量，本研究对该案例进行了强有力的案例内推断。虽然本研究的实证基础包括一个单一的案例研究，本文中开发的分析框架可能会影响到研究大量的圣战组织，Saladian集团。
ABSTRACT In the post-Cold War era, “Jihadi-Salafi Groups” (JSGs) have emerged as significant “violence-making” organizations. Almost all JSGs have emerged in highly fragile states. The literature on the state fragility-terrorism nexus, by focusing exclusively on whether state fragility is a cause of terrorism or not, has failed to consider the broader impact of state fragility on the emergence of JSGs. The role of state fragility as a condition of the emergence of JSGs, in particular, is mostly overlooked in the literature. This paper, adding state fragility as a condition variable to the causal model of the rise of JSGs, fills this gap. The empirical basis of this research includes a single case study examining the relationship between state fragility in the post-Saddam Iraq and the formation of Islamic State (IS). By adding a new variable to the causal model of the rise of IS, this research makes a strong within-case inference concerning this case. Although the empirical basis of this research includes a single case study, the analytical framework developed in this paper has possible implications for studying a larger number of Jihadi-Salafi groups.