Uncertain futures and everyday hedging in a humanitarian city
Uncertain futures and everyday hedging in a humanitarian city
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DOI：
10.1111/tran.12188
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发表时间：
2017-06
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
L. Newhouse
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
L. Newhouse
在这篇论文中，我将讨论不确定的未来如何在现在动员行动，并考虑这种行动对未来会产生什么样的社会和经济。从南苏丹朱巴的Vantage位置思考，我展示了空间和时间对出现的开放性如何塑造了预测、对冲和度过完全不确定的未来和现在的日常实践。我认为，这种日常对冲的定义特征是（一）一个隐含的空间比较框架，（二）缺乏可靠的知识和计算的做法之间充满了相互依赖性，最后（三）他们的能力，以产生价值，面对风险。我认为未来性和其他地方是差异的形式--也就是说，是成为的展开和新的出现的条件，也是惊喜的要求。虽然朱巴可能被认为是一个极限的情况下，我认为，日常对冲的做法-无论其特殊性-是至关重要的，以更好地了解未来和复杂的社会经济依赖。
In this paper, I take up diverse ways in which the uncertain future mobilises action in the now, and consider what kinds of socialities and economies such actions toward the future produce. Thinking from the vantage point of Juba, South Sudan, I show how the openness of space and time to emergence shape the everyday practices of anticipating, hedging for and living through a future and present that is radically uncertain. I argue that the defining features of such everyday hedging are (i) an implicitly spatial frame of comparison, (ii) a fraught interdependence between lack of reliable knowledge and calculative practices and finally (iii) their capacity to generate value in the face of risk. I consider futurity and elsewheres as modalities of difference – that is, as conditions for the unfolding of becoming and the emergence of the new, as well as requirements for surprise. Although Juba may be considered a limit case, I argue that practices of everyday hedging – whatever their particularities – are critical to better understanding futurity and the complex socialities on which the economic relies.