The relationship between pay day and violent death in Guatemala: a time series analysis
The relationship between pay day and violent death in Guatemala: a time series analysis
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DOI：
10.1136/injuryprev-2016-042024
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发表时间：
2017-04-01
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
Wiebe, Douglas J.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ramirez, Dorian E.;Branas, Charles C.;Wiebe, Douglas J.
目的评估危地马拉暴力死亡是否与发薪日相关。设计中断时间序列分析。建立危地马拉国家尸检数据库。2009年至2012年22 418名死者每日与暴力相关的尸检数据。数据由危地马拉国家法医科学研究所提供。对多个发薪日滞后和其他重要日子如节假日进行了测试。Outcome测量了发薪日和节假日暴力死亡事件的绝对和相对估计。然而，观察到国家节假日存在显著的联系，当国家节假日和发薪日同时发生时，这种联系更加明显。这种影响主要发生在男性身上，他们构成了危地马拉暴力死亡的绝大多数。估计112分(系数=3.12；95%可信区间2.15至4.08；p
Objective To assess if violent deaths were associated with pay days in Guatemala.Design Interrupted time series analysis.Setting Guatemalan national autopsy databases.Participants Daily violence-related autopsy data for 22 418 decedents from 2009 to 2012. Data were provided by the Guatemalan National Institute of Forensic Sciences. Multiple pay-day lags and other important days such as holidays were tested.Outcome measures Absolute and relative estimates of excess violent deaths on pay days and holidays.Results The occurrence of violent deaths was not associated with pay days. However, a significant association was observed for national holidays, and this association was more pronounced when national holidays and pay days occurred simultaneously. This effect was observed mainly in males, who constituted the vast majority of violent deaths in Guatemala. An estimated 112 (coefficient=3.12; 95% CI 2.15 to 4.08; p