Trade off methods in system planning

Trade off methods in system planning
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系统规划中的权衡方法

DOI:
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发表时间:
1988
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
S. Monohon
S. Monohon
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
W. Burke;H. Merrill;F. Schweppe;B. E. Lovell;M. F. McCoy;S. Monohon

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介绍了不确定性多目标规划的理论进展。权衡/风险的方法进行了描述,并提出了一个案例研究中,权衡/风险有助于分析资源规划方案。这种决策方法允许确定可能不是最佳但代表合理折衷的稳健计划。不确定性可以用概率建模,也可以作为未知但有界的变量,而不需要概率结构。该方法适用于在资源规划测试案例中的邦纳维尔电力管理局(BPA)。它的结论是,这种方法可以用于主机的系统规划应用程序作为目前使用的模型和工具的扩展。>
Theoretical advances in multiobjective planning with uncertainty are described. The trade off/risk method is described and a case study is presented in which trade off/risk contributed to the analysis of resource planning options. This approach to decision making allows the identification of robust plans which may not be optimal but represent a reasonable compromise. Uncertainty can be modeled probabilistically or as unknown but bounded variables without a probability structure. The methodology is applied in a resource planning test case for Bonneville Power Administration (BPA). It is concluded that this method can be used in a host of system planning applications as an extension of the models and tools currently used. >