Assessing the health benefits of urban air pollution reductions associated with climate change mitigation (2000-2020): Santiago, São Paulo, México City, and New York City.
Assessing the health benefits of urban air pollution reductions associated with climate change mitigation (2000-2020): Santiago, São Paulo, México City, and New York City.
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DOI：
10.1289/ehp.01109s3419
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发表时间：
2001-06
影响因子：
10.4
通讯作者：
Davis DL
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cifuentes L;Borja-Aburto VH;Gouveia N;Thurston G;Davis DL
为了研究采用温室气体（GHG）减排政策对当地健康的潜在益处，我们使用适合每个城市的空气污染健康影响因子，为墨西哥梅西科城、智利圣地亚哥、巴西圣保罗和美国纽约州纽约市制定了GHG减排情景。我们估计，在未来20年内，仅在这四个城市采用现成的技术来减少化石燃料的排放，就将减少颗粒物和臭氧，并避免约64，000（95%置信区间[CI] 18，000 - 116，000）过早死亡（包括婴儿死亡），65，000例（95% CI 22，000 - 108，000）慢性支气管炎病例，以及4600万（95% CI 3500 - 5800万）人/天的工作损失或其他活动受限。这些研究结果表明，温室气体减排可以为选择通过减少化石燃料燃烧来减少温室气体排放的国家提供相当大的与当地空气污染相关的公共健康利益。
To investigate the potential local health benefits of adopting greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation policies, we develop scenarios of GHG mitigation for México City, México; Santiago, Chile; São Paulo, Brazil; and New York, New York, USA using air pollution health impact factors appropriate to each city. We estimate that the adoption of readily available technologies to lessen fossil fuel emissions over the next two decades in these four cities alone will reduce particulate matter and ozone and avoid approximately 64,000 (95% confidence interval [CI] 18,000-116,000) premature deaths (including infant deaths), 65,000 (95% CI 22,000-108,000) chronic bronchitis cases, and 46 million (95% CI 35-58 million) person-days of work loss or other restricted activity. These findings illustrate that GHG mitigation can provide considerable local air pollution-related public health benefits to countries that choose to abate GHG emissions by reducing fossil fuel combustion.