Age-Dependent Risks of Incidence and Mortality of COVID-19 in Hubei Province and Other Parts of China
Age-Dependent Risks of Incidence and Mortality of COVID-19 in Hubei Province and Other Parts of China
复制标题
湖北省和中国其他地区的 COVID-19 发病率和死亡率与年龄相关的风险
DOI：
10.3389/fmed.2020.00190
复制
发表时间：
2020-04-30
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
He, Yungang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Li, Hongdou;Wang, Shuang;He, Yungang
2020年初的新型冠状病毒SARS-CoV-2大流行对全球公共卫生构成了巨大挑战。由病毒引起的2019冠状病毒病（COVID-19）在全球迅速蔓延，在短短两个多月的时间里夺走了数千人的生命。细化COVID-19的发病和死亡风险，对疫情期间公众和患者的有效管理至关重要。在本报告中，我们通过分析中国5319例感染患者、76例死亡病例和1144648名普通公众的年龄构成，探讨了感染的发病率和死亡风险。我们的研究结果显示，年轻人的发病率相对较低，但老年人的死亡率非常高。值得注意的是，对于80岁以上的人来说，死亡风险可能高达0.48。此外，我们的研究表明，良好的医疗服务可以有效地将病毒感染的死亡率降低到1%或更低。
The new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 pandemic of early 2020 poses an enormous challenge to global public health. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the virus has spread rapidly throughout the world, taking thousands of lives in just over 2 months. It is critical to refine the incidence and mortality risks of COVID-19 for the effective management of the general public and patients during the outbreak. In this report, we investigate the incidence and mortality risks of the infection by analyzing the age composition of 5,319 infected patients, 76 fatal cases, and 1,144,648 individuals of the general public in China. Our results show a relatively low incidence risk for young people but a very high mortality risk for seniors. Notably, mortality risk could be as high as 0.48 for people older than 80 years. Furthermore, our study suggests that a good medical service can effectively reduce the mortality rate of the viral infection to 1% or less.