A social choice approach to expert consensus panels
A social choice approach to expert consensus panels
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jhealeco.2003.10.004
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发表时间：
2004-05-01
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Shipan, CR
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gabel, MJ;Shipan, CR
本研究利用最近有关群体决策的理论工作来评估专家共识小组的决策质量。我们具体审查(1)小组的个人成员何时会向小组透露他们对决定的私人判断，以及(2)当集体判断优于小组成员的判断并将为患者带来更好的治疗时。我们的结论是，为了最大限度地增加做出准确决定的机会，小组应该尽可能大，采用最小的绝对多数规则，并吸引具有最高个人能力的成员。此外，小组成员之间的相互依赖和达成协商一致的目标可能会降低这些小组的效力。(C)2004爱思唯尔B.V.保留所有权利。
This study uses recent theoretical work about group decision-making to assess the quality of decision-making by expert consensus panels. We specifically examine (1) when individual members of panels will divulge their private judgments about the decision to the panel, and (2) when the group judgment is superior to the judgment of individual panelists and will lead to better treatment for patients. We conclude that to maximize the chance of an accurate decision, panels should be made as large as possible, adopt the smallest supermajority rule, and attract members with the highest individual competencies. Furthermore, interdependence among panelists and the goal of reaching consensus can reduce the efficacy of these panels. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.