The effects of regional climatic condition on the spread of COVID-19 at global scale
The effects of regional climatic condition on the spread of COVID-19 at global scale
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DOI：
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140101
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发表时间：
2020-10-15
影响因子：
9.8
通讯作者：
Iqbal, Muhammad Jawed
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Iqbal, Muhammad Mazhar;Abid, Irfan;Iqbal, Muhammad Jawed
新型冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行疫情正在全球扩散蔓延，全球近208个国家和地区受到影响。它已成为一个严重的卫生和社会经济问题，而世界上没有对抗这种病毒的疫苗。本研究旨在分析全球范围内新冠肺炎快速传播与区域气候参数之间的关系。在本研究中，我们收集了不同受影响国家从2020年1月至2020年6月5日的COVID-19病例数据和2020年1月至2020年6月5日的区域气候参数数据。结果发现，尽管经济社会条件较好，但气温较低地区的大多数国家比气候较温暖地区的国家新增病例增长速度更快。观察计量参数与新冠肺炎病例的相关性。平均日照时数与总病例数的相关系数为0.42，平均高温与总病例数和死亡病例的相关系数分别为0.59和0.42。这项研究的发现将有助于国际卫生组织和地方行政部门对抗和妥善管理COVID-19的传播。(C) 2020 Elsevier B.V.版权所有
The pandemic outbreak of the novel coronavirus epidemic disease (COVID-19) is spreading like a diffusion-reaction in the world and almost 208 countries and territories are being affected around the globe. It became a sever health and socio-economic problem, while the world has no vaccine to combat this virus. This research aims to analyze the connection between the fast spread of COVID-19 and regional climate parameters over a global scale. In this research, we collected the data of COVID-19 cases from the time of 1st reported case to the 5th June 2020 in different affected countries and regional climatic parameters data from January 2020 to 5th June 2020. It was found that most of the countries located in the relatively lower temperature region show a rapid increase in the COVID-19 cases than the countries locating in the warmer climatic regions despite their better socio-economic conditions. A correlation between metrological parameters and COVID-19 cases was observed. Average daylight hours are correlated to total the COVID-19 cases with a coefficient of determination of 0.42, while average high-temperature shows a correlation of 0.59 and 0.42 with total COVID-19 cases and death cases respectively. The finding of the study will help international health organizations and local administrations to combat and well manage the spread of COVID-19. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.