A STUDY ON EVACUATION SIMULATION FOR GUIDING TOURISTS IN HIMEJI CASTLE BASED ON A SURVEY OF TOURISTS’ INTENTIONS IN EVACUATION AFTER EARTHQUAKE
A STUDY ON EVACUATION SIMULATION FOR GUIDING TOURISTS IN HIMEJI CASTLE BASED ON A SURVEY OF TOURISTS’ INTENTIONS IN EVACUATION AFTER EARTHQUAKE
复制标题
基于地震后游客疏散意愿调查的姬路城引导游客疏散模拟研究
DOI：
10.5614/ajht.2014.13.2.5
复制
发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
H. Kanegae
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kohei Sakai;A. Honda;Siriluk Mongkonkerd;S. Perera;Mingji Cui;Y. Toyoda;H. Taniguchi;H. Kanegae
许多游客倾向于参观历史悠久的地区。然而，他们对这些地区、防灾和疏散的知识还不够。日本经历了2011年的东日本大地震、1995年的坂神淡路大地震等几次大规模灾害，今后还可能面临南海海槽地震。本文通过对姬路城地震后游客疏散意向的调查，介绍了疏散模拟和支持游客疏散的措施。本研究所调查的姬路城是日本的世界遗产之一。首先，这项研究揭示了决策规则，并利用这些来分类游客。本文调查了游客在开始疏散前考虑的信息来源。根据问卷调查的结果，运用层次分析法和聚类分析法将其分为四类。因此，许多游客在开始疏散之前，对姬路城堡的标志牌和工作人员的信息给予了很高的价值。其次，以类似的方式，使用层次分析法，本调查发现，许多游客考虑的信息，从招牌和工作人员在选择疏散路线，并回答分为四组使用聚类分析。其次，本研究发展了一个考虑游客疏散意图的疏散模拟。本研究以SOARS（Spot Oriented Agent Role Simulator）为仿真平台，采用Spot Link型模型。第三，本研究模拟了“备前门”附近和观光路线上的避难者流量不同的6种情况，并通过能够到达避难区域的避难者人数和因瓶颈而无法移动的避难者人数的变化进行了评价。因此，我们发现了两个有效的措施，引导游客。
Many tourists tend to visit historic areas. Nevertheless, their knowledge about these areas, disaster prevention, and evacuation is not sufficient. Japan has met with several large-scale disasters, namely the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake in 1995, and will potentially face the Nankai Trough Quake in the future. This paper, based on a survey of tourists’ intentions in evacuation after an earthquake in Himeji castle, shows an evacuation simulation and the measures for supporting tourists’ evacuation. Himeji Castle, the area investigated by this study, is one of the world heritage sites in Japan. First, this study revealed decision-making rules and used these to categorize tourists. This paper investigated the sources of information that tourists consider before starting evacuation. According to the results of the questionnaire survey, four groups were categorized by analytic hierarchy process and cluster analysis. As a result, many tourists set a high value on information from sign boards and staff of the Himeji castle before starting evacuation. Next, in a similar manner, using analytic hierarchy process, this survey found that many tourists consider information from signboard and staff when choosing evacuation routes, and the respondents were categorized into four groups using cluster analysis. Second, this study developed an evacuation simulation taking into account the tourists’ intentions about evacuation. This study used SOARS, Spot Oriented Agent Role Simulator, as a simulation platform and adopted a Spot-Link type model. Third, this study simulated six cases that have different evacuee flows near “Bizen-gate” and routes in sightseeing, and evaluated them by transition of the number of evacuees who were able to reach an evacuation area and the number of evacuees who could not move because of bottlenecks. As a result, we found two effective measures for guiding tourists.