General growth balance method: A reformulation for populations open to migration
General growth balance method: A reformulation for populations open to migration
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DOI：
10.1080/00324720213798
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发表时间：
2002-03-01
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
Bhat, PNM
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Bhat, PNM
本文提出了对估计人口普查和登记完整性的一般增长平衡方法的重新表述，以便使其甚至适用于受移民影响的人口。它还讨论了一个新的线拟合程序，可能是有用的，在国家的输入数据受到严重影响的年龄误报。该方法适用于通过人口普查或调查获得两个时间点人口年龄分布数据的国家。它密切遵循布拉斯的原始建议，涉及调整“部分”出生率，以适应来自增长和迁移率的年龄特定干扰。除了校正死亡率外，该方法还有助于推断人口普查的相对完整性，并在一定条件下得出出生率的可靠估计。该方法的应用举例说明使用的男性人口的印度北方邦在1981年至1991年期间。
This paper proposes a reformulation of the general growth balance method for estimating census and registration completeness so as to make it applicable even to populations that are affected by migration. It also discusses a new procedure of line fitting that could be useful in countries where the input data are severely affected by age misreporting. The method is applicable to countries where data on age distribution of the population are available for two points in time from either censuses or surveys. Following closely the original proposal of Brass, it involves adjusting the 'partial' birth rates for age-specific disturbances from growth and migration rates. Beyond correcting the death rates, the method is useful in inferring the relative completeness of the censuses, and in deriving a robust estimate of birth rate under certain conditions. The application of the method is illustrated using the example of the male population of the Indian state of Uttar Pradesh for the period 1981 to 1991.