Criminal Prosecution and Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Related Risky Behavior

Criminal Prosecution and Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Related Risky Behavior
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DOI:
10.1086/655806
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发表时间:
2010-11-01
影响因子:
2.2
通讯作者:
Sood, Neeraj
Sood, Neeraj
中科院分区:
经济学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Delavande, Adeline;Goldman, Dana;Sood, Neeraj

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我们研究起诉人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)阳性者的后果,并将其他人暴露在感染之下。我们表明,这种起诉对艾滋病毒传播的影响是先验的模棱两可的。起诉阻止了不安全的性行为。然而,它们也会鼓励与性行为更乱的伴侣发生性关系,从而增加艾滋病毒的传播。我们测试了这些预测,发现这样的起诉与伴侣数量的减少、安全性行为的增加以及与妓女发生性行为的增加有关。我们估计,将起诉率提高一倍,可以在10年内将新感染艾滋病毒的总人数减少三分之一。
We examine the consequences of prosecuting people who are human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positive and expose others to the infection. We show that the effect of such prosecutions on the spread of HIV is a priori ambiguous. The prosecutions deter unsafe sex. However, they also create incentives for having sex with partners who are more promiscuous, which consequently increases the spread of HIV. We test these predictions and find that such prosecutions are associated with a reduction in the number of partners, an increase in safe sex, and an increase in sex with prostitutes. We estimate that doubling the prosecution rate could decrease the total number of new HIV infections by one-third over a 10-year period.