El Nino-Southern Oscillation and vector-borne diseases in Anhui, China

El Nino-Southern Oscillation and vector-borne diseases in Anhui, China
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DOI:
10.1089/vbz.2005.5.95
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发表时间:
2005-06-01
影响因子:
2.1
通讯作者:
Tong, SL
Tong, SL
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bi, P;Parton, KA;Tong, SL

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本文分析了安徽省1971-1992年和1966-1987年南方涛动指数(SOI)与肾综合征出血热(HFRS)和疟疾月发病率的关系。根据22年的月度数据,结果表明,SOI与疟疾和HFRS的月发病率之间分别存在正相关和负相关关系。研究结果表明,SOI可以作为研究气候变化与此类疾病传播之间关系的一个指标,特别是在较大的地区,例如在省甚至州一级,在这些地区,平均降雨量或温度数据是不合适的。
This paper examines the relationship between monthly Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and monthly incidences of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) and malaria in Anhui Province, China, over the periods 1971-1992 and 1966-1987, respectively. On the basis of monthly data over a 22-year period, results indicated that there were positive and negative relationships, respectively, between the SOI and monthly incidences of malaria and HFRS. The results suggest that the SOI could be used as an index in the study of the association of climate variability with the transmission of such diseases, particularly over larger areas, such as at a provincial or even state level, where averaging rainfall or temperature data across regions is inappropriate.