Unemployment benefits as a search subsidy: new evidence on duration and wage effects of unemployment insurance
Unemployment benefits as a search subsidy: new evidence on duration and wage effects of unemployment insurance
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失业救济金作为搜寻补贴：失业保险期限和工资影响的新证据
DOI：
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发表时间：
2002
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
M. Gangl
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
M. Gangl
求职模型提供了两种关于失业救济金对失业工人求职结果影响的互补预测。通过提高工人的保留工资，失业救济金应有助于延长工龄和提高失业后的工作质量。与以前的许多实证研究，只解决了持续时间的负面影响，目前的文件共同解决失业救济的因果关系，失业持续时间和失业后的工资。基于面板数据的收入和计划参与调查和德国社会经济小组在20世纪80年代和90年代，本文建立了实证支持这两个国家的利益影响。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是有证据表明美国数据的持续时间效应略显负面，而德国数据对失业后工资的积极UI效应更强。无论如何，失业救济金对工资的积极影响的经验估计大大超过了Addison和Blackburn最近基于失业工人调查数据的论文中获得的结果。与他们的发现相反，数据还提供了充分的证据，证明工资变化分布的下尾具有更强的UI效应。因此，失业救济金以相当小的失业时间延长为代价，大大减少了失业对工人未来工作记录的创伤影响。
Job search models offer two complementary predictions about the effects of unemployment benefits on job search outcomes among unemployed workers. By raising workers' reservation wages, unemployment benefits should contribute to both prolonged spell duration and improved post-unemployment job quality. In contrast to many previous empirical studies that have addressed the negative benefit effect on duration only, the current paper jointly addresses the causal effect of unemployment benefits on both unemployment duration and post-unemployment wages. Based on panel data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation and the German Socio-Economic Panel for the 1980s and 1990s, the paper establishes empirical support for both benefit effects in both countries. If anything, there is evidence of a slightly more negative duration effect for the U.S. data, while positive UI effects on post-unemployment wages are stronger in the German data. In any event, the empirical estimates for the positive effects of unemployment benefits on wages substantially exceed those obtained in Addison and Blackburn's recent paper based on Displaced Worker Survey data. In contrast to their findings, the data also provide ample evidence of stronger UI effects in the lower tails of the wage change distribution. At the cost of a fairly small prolongation of unemployment duration, unemployment benefits thus substantially reduce the scar effects of unemployment on workers' future job records.