Controlling the spread of COVID-19 on college campuses
Controlling the spread of COVID-19 on college campuses
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DOI：
10.3934/mbe.2021030
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发表时间：
2020-01-01
影响因子：
2.6
通讯作者：
Durrett, Rick
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Borowiak, Molly;Ning, Fayfay;Durrett, Rick
这项研究是在2020年5月18日至7月10日杜克大学DOMath项目期间进行的。当时，杜克大学和全国各地的其他大学都在努力解决如何在秋季安全地欢迎学生重返校园的问题。正因为如此，我们的项目专注于使用数学模型来评估抑制病毒在校园内传播的策略，特别是在宿舍和教室。对于宿舍，我们表明，给学生提供单人间而不是双人间可以大大减少病毒的传播。对于教室，我们表明，将规模超过一定界限的班级转移到网上可以使基本复制数R-0<；1，从而防止广泛传播的流行病。截止日期将取决于疾病在教室里的传染性。
This research was done during the DOMath program at Duke University from May 18 to July 10, 2020. At the time, Duke and other universities across the country were wrestling with the question of how to safely welcome students back to campus in the Fall. Because of this, our project focused on using mathematical models to evaluate strategies to suppress the spread of the virus on campus, specifically in dorms and in classrooms. For dorms, we show that giving students single rooms rather than double rooms can substantially reduce virus spread. For classrooms, we show that moving classes with size above some cutoff online can make the basic reproduction number R-0 < 1, preventing a wide spread epidemic. The cutoff will depend on the contagiousness of the disease in classrooms.