China's regional CO2 emissions: Characteristics, inter-regional transfer and emission reduction policies

China's regional CO2 emissions: Characteristics, inter-regional transfer and emission reduction policies
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DOI:
10.1016/j.enpol.2011.07.013
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发表时间:
2011-10-01
期刊:
影响因子:
9
通讯作者:
Zhang, Zengkai
Zhang, Zengkai
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Meng, Lei;Guo, Ju'e;Zhang, Zengkai

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本文利用1997年至2009年的面板数据,分析了中国的区域二氧化碳排放特征及其对经济增长和能源强度的影响。结果表明,东、中、西部地区之间存在显著的区域差异,人均GDP和能源强度对二氧化碳排放的区域弹性,反映了经济发展、经济结构和能源强度降低对二氧化碳排放的抑制作用的区域差异。能源强度降低对能源强度弹性较大的省份减排效果较好,但对能源强度弹性较低的省份减排效果不明显。能源生产和消费的逆向分布,能源价格、税制等制度性因素造成的区域不公平,导致二氧化碳排放跨区域转移体现在输电环节。计算表明,2003年后,从东部地区向中西部地区,特别是中部能源大省的隐性排放转移逐渐明显,导致了排放和排放强度的扭曲。区域减排目标和配套政策要因地制宜、符合实际,而不是对所有省份设定相同的目标。(C)2011爱思唯尔有限公司。保留所有权利。
This paper analyzes the characteristics of China's regional CO2 emissions and effects of economic growth and energy intensity using panel data from 1997 to 2009. The results show that there are remarkable regional disparities among eastern, central and western areas, regional elasticities of per capita GDP and energy intensity on CO2 emissions, which reflect the regional differences in economic development, economy structure and restraining function of energy intensity decrease on the emission. Energy intensity reducing is more effective to emission abatement for provinces with higher elasticity of energy intensity, but may not be significant for provinces with lower elasticity. The inverse distribution of energy production and consumption, regional unfairness caused by institutional factors like energy price and tax system result in inter-regional CO2 emission transfer embodied in the power transmission. The calculation indicates that the embodied emission transfer was gradually significant after 2003, from eastern area to the central and western areas, especially energy production provinces in central area, which leads to distortion on the emission and emission intensity. The regional emission reduction targets and supporting policies should be customized and consistent with the actual situations rather than setting the same target for all the provinces. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.