Does growth cause structural change, or is it the other way around? A dynamic panel data analysis for seven OECD countries
Does growth cause structural change, or is it the other way around? A dynamic panel data analysis for seven OECD countries
复制标题
增长会导致结构性变化，还是相反？
DOI：
10.1007/s00181-011-0510-z
复制
发表时间：
2012
影响因子：
3.2
通讯作者：
Andreas Dietrich
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Andreas Dietrich
在经济发展中，经济总量增长伴随着经济三大部门之间的结构性变化。然而，经济增长是导致结构变化，还是经济结构变化导致总量增长，这个问题仍然没有答案。为了更好地阐明这个问题，本文在面板环境中检验了格兰杰因果检验，以确定经济增长和结构变化的关系，无论是从就业份额还是实际增加值份额来衡量。对经合组织七个国家1960-2004年期间的年度数据的估计和分析表明，尽管这些国家之间的因果关系似乎各不相同，但可以得出一些一般性的结论。总体经济增长在很短的时间内会减慢结构性变化的速度，但会在时间上有所滞后。综合效应取决于结构性变化是以就业衡量，还是以实际增加值衡量。相反，无论选择哪种结构变化衡量标准，结构变化都支持总的经济增长。
In economic development, aggregate economic growth is accompanied by structural change among the three main sectors of an economy. Nevertheless, the question whether economic growth causes structural change, or changes in the economic structure cause aggregate growth is still unanswered. To shed more light on this question, this article examines a Granger causality test in a panel environment to determine the relationship of economic growth and structural change, measured either in terms of employment shares or real value added shares. Estimation and analysis of the annual data of seven OECD countries, covering the period from 1960–2004, show that although the causality appears to be heterogeneous among these countries, some general conclusions can be drawn. Aggregate economic growth decelerates structural change in the very short run but accelerates it with some lag in time. The aggregate effect depends on whether structural change is measured in terms of employment or in terms of real value added. Conversely, structural change supports aggregate economic growth, irrespective of which measure of structural change chosen.
用面板数据估计向量自回归
影响因子：
6.1
作者：
HOLTZEAKIN, D;NEWEY, W;ROSEN, HS
通讯作者：
ROSEN, HS
的存在
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2004
期刊：
Journal of Clinical Pathology 57・9
影响因子：
--
作者：
Saito T;Oda Y;Tamiya S;et al.;Nakayama H
通讯作者：
Nakayama H