Impact of Hourly Measured Speed on Accident Risk in the Netherlands: Results from Exploratory Study Using Geographic Information Systems
Impact of Hourly Measured Speed on Accident Risk in the Netherlands: Results from Exploratory Study Using Geographic Information Systems
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DOI：
10.3141/1972-13
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发表时间：
2006
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
T. Brijs;G. Wets;Robin Krimpenfort;Col Offermans
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Brijs;G. Wets;Robin Krimpenfort;Col Offermans
几位学者指出，迫切需要进行更多研究，以更全面地确定速度与碰撞事故之间的精确关系。本文介绍了在荷兰布拉班特东南警察区进行的一项探索性研究的初步结果。两年内每小时的速度测量数据是通过市级和省级公路网的环路检测器收集的，并且与碰撞相关。研究了交通强度、速度的不同方面及其对碰撞事故的影响，包括长度小于和大于 5.2 m 的车辆的绝对速度、速度变化以及超速者的比例。该研究还讨论了与此类分析相关的许多方法论方面。结果表明，尽管绝对速度在限速较低的道路上发挥着更重要的作用，但当限速较高时，速度的变化与碰撞事故的相关性更大。鉴于研究领域有限，这项工作的结果不能毫无风险地推广。然而，他们提供了有趣的见解，值得在全国范围的横断面研究中进一步研究。
Several scholars have defined the urgent need for more research to identify more fully the precise relationship between speed and crash involvement. This paper presents the first results of an exploratory study carried out in the Brabant Southeast police region in the Netherlands. Hourly speed measurement data over a period of 2 years were collected from loop detectors on the municipal and provincial road network and were related to crashes. Different aspects of traffic intensity, speed, and their impact on crashes, including absolute speed, speed variation, and the proportion of excessive speeders, for vehicles less than and more than 5.2 m long, were studied. The study also discusses a number of methodological aspects associated with this kind of analysis. The results show that although absolute speed plays a more important role on roads where speed limits are low, the variation in speed correlates more with crashes when speed limits are higher. Given the limited study area, the results of this work cannot be generalized without risk. However, they offer interesting insights that deserve further investigation in a nationwide cross-sectional study.