Campaign disconnect: operational progress and strategic obstacles in Afghanistan, 2009-2011
Campaign disconnect: operational progress and strategic obstacles in Afghanistan, 2009-2011
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战役脱节：2009-2011 年阿富汗的行动进展和战略障碍
DOI：
10.1111/j.1468-2346.2011.00973.x
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发表时间：
2011
影响因子：
4.5
通讯作者：
CHAUDHURI R
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
CHAUDHURI R
战争的成功取决于行动与战略的一致性。通常，这种协调需要时间，因为文职和军事领导人要评估行动的效力，并对其进行调整，以确保实现战略目标。本文评估了美国领导的阿富汗战争的前景。通过广泛的实地研究，作者发现，在四个关键领域的业务层面取得了重大进展：反叛乱行动的方法，阿富汗安全部队的发展，阿富汗国家以下各级治理的增长和实地的军事势头。然而，在战略层面上，形势不容乐观。这篇文章确定了三个战略障碍，以运动的成功：腐败在阿富汗国家政府，厌战在北约国家和叛乱分子在巴基斯坦的避风港。这些战略问题需要国际安全援助部队（安援部队）能力所不能及的政治事态发展。换句话说，在业务层面取得进一步进展不会带来“胜利”。因此，报告得出结论认为，安援部队行动的核心是行动与战略脱节。
Success in war depends on alignment between operations and strategy. Commonly, such alignment takes time as civilian and military leaders assess the effectiveness of operations and adjust them to ensure that strategic objectives are achieved. This article assesses prospects for the US-led campaign in Afghanistan. Drawing on extensive field research, the authors find that significant progress has been made at the operational level in four key areas: the approach to counterinsurgency operations, development of Afghan security forces, growth of Afghan sub-national governance and military momentum on the ground. However, the situation is bleak at the strategic level. The article identifies three strategic obstacles to campaign success: corruption in Afghan national government, war-weariness in NATO countries and insurgent safe havens in Pakistan. These strategic problems require political developments that are beyond the capabilities of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF). In other words, further progress at the operational level will not bring ‘victory’. It concludes, therefore, that there is an operational-strategic disconnect at the heart of the ISAF campaign.