Initial analysis of the spatial correlation between the incidence of COVID-19 and human development in the municipalities of the state of Ceará in Brazil
Initial analysis of the spatial correlation between the incidence of COVID-19 and human development in the municipalities of the state of Ceará in Brazil
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DOI：
10.1590/1980-549720200057
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发表时间：
2020-01-01
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Farias, Mariana Ramalho de
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Maciel, Jacques Antonio Cavalcante;Castro-Silva, Igor Iuco;Farias, Mariana Ramalho de
目的：分析塞阿拉各市COVID-19发病率的空间分布及其与城市人类发展指数（MHDI）的相关性。方法：这是一项生态研究，使用2020年第15周和第19周的流行病学数据，使用每个城市的MHDI和COVID-19发病系数作为变量。结果：2019年COVID-19发病率具有空间依赖性，呈中度正相关，并在福塔莱萨大都市区和北部城市形成高-高聚集。发病率最低的是南部和西部地区的低-低聚集。在福塔莱萨大都市区，MHDI与COVID-19发病率之间存在正的双变量相关性，并形成聚集性。结论：塞阿拉COVID-19及其与MHDI的关系的不均匀映射有助于区域抗击大流行的行动。
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the spatial distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 and its correlation with the municipal human development index (MHDI) of the municipalities of Ceara.METHODS: This is an ecological study with data recovered from the 15th epidemiological week and the 19th one of the year 2020 using the MHDI and the COVID-19 incidence coefficient for each municipality as variables. The univariate spatial correlation and the bivariate one were analyzed using the TerraView and GeoDa softwares.RESULTS: The incidence of COVID-19 has spatial dependence with moderate positive correlation and the formation of high-high clusters located in the metropolitan region of Fortaleza and municipalities in the north region. The lowest incidence was a low-low cluster in the south and west regions. There was a positive bivariate correlation between MHDI and the incidence of COVID-19 with the formation of a cluster in the metropolitan region of Fortaleza.CONCLUSION: The uneven mapping of COVID-19 and its relationship with MHDI in Ceara can contribute to actions to regional combat the pandemic.