Global field observations of tree die-off reveal hotter-drought fingerprint for Earth's forests.

Global field observations of tree die-off reveal hotter-drought fingerprint for Earth's forests.
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DOI:
10.1038/s41467-022-29289-2
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发表时间:
2022-04-05
影响因子:
16.6
通讯作者:
Allen CD
Allen CD
中科院分区:
综合性期刊1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hammond WM;Williams AP;Abatzoglou JT;Adams HD;Klein T;López R;Sáenz-Romero C;Hartmann H;Breshears DD;Allen CD

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Earth’s forests face grave challenges in the Anthropocene, including hotter droughts increasingly associated with widespread forest die-off events. But despite the vital importance of forests to global ecosystem services, their fates in a warming world remain highly uncertain. Lacking is quantitative determination of commonality in climate anomalies associated with pulses of tree mortality—from published, field-documented mortality events—required for understanding the role of extreme climate events in overall global tree die-off patterns. Here we established a geo-referenced global database documenting climate-induced mortality events spanning all tree-supporting biomes and continents, from 154 peer-reviewed studies since 1970. Our analysis quantifies a global “hotter-drought fingerprint” from these tree-mortality sites—effectively a hotter and drier climate signal for tree mortality—across 675 locations encompassing 1,303 plots. Frequency of these observed mortality-year climate conditions strongly increases nonlinearly under projected warming. Our database also provides initial footing for further community-developed, quantitative, ground-based monitoring of global tree mortality. Tree mortality is increasing due to droughts and other climate change-related stressors, but isolating climate signals for tree mortality is challenging. Here, the authors assemble a geo-referenced global database that quantifies how drought and hotter climate drive tree mortality events.
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