Multiple calibration decomposition analysis: Energy use and carbon dioxide emissions in the Japanese economy, 1970-1995
Multiple calibration decomposition analysis: Energy use and carbon dioxide emissions in the Japanese economy, 1970-1995
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DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2007.04.001
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发表时间：
2007-10
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
S. Okushima;M. Tamura
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Okushima;M. Tamura
本文的目的是提出一种在多部门一般均衡框架下评估经济结构变化的新方法。多重校准技术被应用于对不同时期之间的结构变化进行事后分解分析，从而能够区分每个部门的价格替代和技术变化。与传统的分解方法相比，这种方法具有更坚实的微观理论基础。这项拟议的技术被经验地应用于1970年至1995年日本经济中能源使用和二氧化碳(CO2)排放的变化。结果表明，技术变革对减少日本的能源消耗和二氧化碳排放具有重要意义。在此期间，二氧化碳排放总量增加的主要原因是经济增长，这表现为最终需求效应。另一方面，劳动力或能源的技术变革等影响缓解了二氧化碳排放的增加。
The purpose of this paper is to present a new approach to evaluating structural change of the economy in a multisector general equilibrium framework. The multiple calibration technique is applied to an ex post decomposition analysis of structural change between periods, enabling the distinction between price substitution and technological change to be made for each sector. This approach has the advantage of sounder microtheoretical underpinnings when compared with conventional decomposition methods. The proposed technique is empirically applied to changes in energy use and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the Japanese economy from 1970 to 1995. The results show that technological change is of great importance for curtailing energy use and CO2emissions in Japan. Total CO2emissions increased during this period primarily because of economic growth, which is represented by final demand effects. On the other hand, the effects such as technological change for labor or energy mitigated the increase in CO2emissions.