Refining climate change threats to heritage
Refining climate change threats to heritage
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DOI：
10.1080/19455224.2014.916226
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发表时间：
2014-01-01
影响因子：
0.8
通讯作者：
Brimblecombe, Peter
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Brimblecombe, Peter
气候变化给遗产带来了不断变化的风险。未来英国的气候很难解释，其结果可能是概率性的和微妙的。尽管如此，人们还是很容易把我们的未来描绘成一个更温暖、更潮湿或更多风的世界。这样的未来有一定的道理，但特别是在与水有关的变量的情况下，变化可能是复杂的。就总降雨量和平均相对湿度而言，英国气候可能会变得更加干燥。我们必须更多地考虑遗产气候；可能威胁到遗产的特定变量。气象参数以不同的方式影响遗产。较强的降雨可能会影响排水，而不断增加的湿度范围可能对盐损害很重要。然而，在真菌侵袭室外木材的情况下，温度可能是比降水更重要的变量。这篇文章呼吁仔细考虑观察到的遗产破坏的变化以及归因于此的气候因素。
A changing climate places shifting risks on heritage. Future English climate can be difficult to interpret and the outcomes may be probabilistic and subtle. In spite of this it can be tempting to reduce our future to one that is warmer or wetter or windier. There is some truth to such a future, but particularly in the case of water-related variables the changes are likely to be complex. In terms of total rainfall and average relative humidity the English climate is likely to become drier. We have to think more in terms of the heritage climate; the particular variables likely to threaten heritage. Meteorological parameters affect heritage in different ways. Heavier rainfall is likely to affect drainage, while an increasing humidity range may be important for salt damage. Yet in the case of fungal attack on outdoor wood it might well be that temperature could be a more important variable than precipitation. This article calls for a careful consideration of the observed change in heritage damage and the climate factors to which this is attributed.