Some Advances in the Researches of the Western North Pacific Typhoon Climate Variability and Prediction
Some Advances in the Researches of the Western North Pacific Typhoon Climate Variability and Prediction
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发表时间：
2007
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通讯作者：
Wang Hui
中科院分区：
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作者：
Wang Hui
本文第一部分简要回顾了台风活动与大气环流和海温关系的研究，介绍了台风气候年际变化和预报的一些新的研究成果，包括台风生成和登陆频次、台风活动与大气环流和海温的关系、台风活动与大气环流和海温的关系以及台风活动与大气环流和海温的关系。这些研究涉及南极涛动、北太平洋涛动、海冰覆盖率、海冰覆盖率、在预报方面，本文介绍了中国科学院大气物理研究所研制的气候模式在台风气候季节预报方面的首次尝试，以及一种新的台风频数预报的动力统计模式。
This paper briefly reviewed the studies of the relationships between the typhoon activity and the atmospheric circulation as well as the sea surface temperature in the first part.Then the authors introduced some new research results about the interannual variability and prediction of the typhoon climate,including the frequency of typhoon genesis and landfall,as well as the typhoon climate prediction by using both the numerical climate model and the dynamical-statistical model.These researches relate the Antarctic oscillation,the North Pacific oscillation,sea ice coverage,and thermal state of the warm pool over the western Pacific.On the prediction aspect,the paper introduced the first attempt to make the seasonal prediction of the typhoon climate by use of the climate model developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,and a new dynamical-statistical model for the prediction of the typhoon frequency.